Last to first: Busch wins another truck race at Bristol

Autoracing Betting Lines

08/18/2010 - Bristol, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Despite having to start from the rear of the field, Kyle Busch easily claimed his third consecutive Camping World Truck Series win at Bristol Motor Speedway on Wednesday.

Busch won the pole for O'Reilly 200, but had to start from the back due to unapproved adjustments on his truck after qualifying. His team had to repair a broken valve cover on his engine.

On lap 90, Busch took the lead for the first time and then ran in front for the remaining 116 laps.

A multi-truck wreck in the closing laps forced a green-white-checkered finish. Busch had just enough fuel to hold off Aric Almirola before the race ended under caution for another wreck on the final lap.

"It ran out on the second to last restart, and it ran out again on the last restart coming right there to the line, so I didn't know if I got the white flag or not, but that was close," Busch said.

Busch captured his third victory of the season and the 19th of his truck career. He became the fifth driver in the series to win three or more consecutive races at the same track. Brendan Gaughan won four races in a row at Texas, while Ted Musgrave (Fontana, CA) Johnny Benson (Milwaukee), and Jack Sprague (Phoenix) had three straight victories.

The truck race at Bristol featured a track-record 13 cautions for 71 laps.

A serious crash involving David Starr and Ken Schrader set up the two-lap overtime finish. Starr got hit from behind by Justin Lofton and then shot up the track before Schrader slammed hard into him. NASCAR halted the race for nine minutes.

"[Lofton's] truck got into the back of me and spun me out," Starr said. "I was gunning underneath him, but he bounced off the wall instead of me getting into him. I tried to stay off of him when he bounced off the wall."

Schrader did not sustain any injuries, but complained of a sore foot.

Just after Busch crossed the line to take the white flag for the last lap, Matt Crafton hit rookie Austin Dillon from behind heading into turn four. Dillon spun and took out Max Papis and Dennis Setzer during the incident.

"He just drove me off into the corner and kept pushing and pushing me; at a certain point, I can't save it," Dillon said.

At the conclusion of the race, Crafton and Dillon had a heated discussion on pit road, with both teams trying to avoid an altercation between the two drivers.

"I understand they would be upset," Crafton said. "The last thing I wanted to do was wreck him. It was not intended. I was trying to get him off the bottom."

Almirola, who just signed a multi-year contract to drive for JR Motorsports in the Nationwide Series beginning next season, finished second.

Ron Hornaday Jr. rebounded from an early spin to take the third spot, while Mike Skinner and rookie Justin Lofton rounded out the top-five.

Todd Bodine, the current points leader and winner of the last two truck races, finished sixth. Brad Keselowski was seventh, followed by Timothy Peters, Miguel Paludo and Crafton. Paludo, a Brazilian race car driver, made his Truck Series debut at Bristol.

Bodine now holds a 211-point lead over Almirola.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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